Technical Analysis on BTCUSDC: Executing a 4.9% ROI Short Trade
Technical Analysis on BTCUSDC: Executing a 4.9% ROI Short Trade
On 29 January 2026 at 03:16, I closed a successful BTCUSDC short trade on Hyperliquid, capturing a +4.9% ROI through disciplined, confirmation-based execution.
This post outlines the rationale behind the trade, along with entry, exit, and management logic.
Trade Summary
- Instrument: BTCUSDC
- Position: SHORT
- Leverage: 5×
- Entry Price: 89,073
- Exit Price: 88,154
- P&L: +4.9%
Technical Analysis: Why I Entered the Short Trade
The short entry at 89,073 was taken after clear confirmation that bullish momentum was failing and price was unable to sustain higher levels.
Key technical factors:
Rejection from Intraday Highs
BTC printed rejection from local highs, with follow-through failing on subsequent candles. This behavior indicated buyer exhaustion rather than continuation.Loss of Short-Term Structure
Price broke and closed below short-term intraday structure, signaling a shift from expansion to rotation lower.Momentum Shift on Execution Timeframe
Bearish continuation candles confirmed active selling pressure, validating the short bias and reducing the risk of premature entry.
This was a reactive trade, not a predictive one.
Exit Strategy: Covering into Weakness
The position was managed as a pure intraday momentum short, prioritizing execution quality over maximum extension.
Exit at 88,154 into Weakness
The trade was closed as price expanded lower into short-term weakness, locking in gains before potential demand absorption.Risk Discipline with Leverage
With 5× leverage, capital preservation and consistency remained the priority. The exit respected the predefined plan and avoided overstaying the move.
Key Takeaways from the Trade
- Shorts demand confirmation, not anticipation
- Failed highs combined with momentum loss offer high-probability short setups
- Clean execution compounds faster than chasing extremes
As always:
React to what price confirms. Ignore what it suggests.
More real executions and technical breakdowns coming soon.